Back then, he was a switch-hitting, switch-throwing prepster who would pitch left-handed and play the infield, too talented to be a sideshow but not enough to go in the first round, as 10 high school shortstops were drafted ahead of him. 69 to No. He tends to live in the tempting upper third of the strike zone and above, where his heater is almost impossible to hit due to its riding life. Chourio is a hard-swinging center fielder with plus power and speed. We can quibble over whether A-ball dynamics have changed due to the elimination of the short season leagues in a way that might invalidate historical precedents like this, but its reasonable to have some pause about Williams long-term prospectdom when you realize the closest 2022 comp for his contact data (66% contact%, 78% z-contact) was Paul DeJong. Theres no present danger that he needs to revisit third base (which he played plenty of in high school and early in pro ball) or anything like that, and Naylor continues to project as a 2-WAR primary catcher. as a junior at Campbell in 2022. He primarily pairs the heater with a shapely low-80s slider and gets most of his swing-and-miss in the zone with both offerings. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, The loss of reps might accelerate a move down the defensive spectrum (the Giants have publicly refuted this) so Luciano can just focus on hitting his way to San Francisco. Watch him hit and you see the breaking ball recognition and low-ball power, as well as the flexibility in Montgomerys lower half that should help him move the barrel around the zone. He was sitting 95-99 mph throughout entire outings, and punched out at least eight hitters in each of his final 11 starts, culminating in a 13 K postseason outing against Vanderbilt when his stock reached its pinnacle. RHP Janzen Keisel The BYU transfer had a loud fall for the Cowboys, leading many to believe that he will be dominant this year. He doesnt have to be put on the 40-man until after the 2024 season, but the rate at which he has been promoted so far indicates hell be in the mix for a rotation spot sooner than that. Forty-two of the 57 games he played in the Carolina League came at ballparks with park factors of 116 or more, per research conducted annually by Baseball Americas Matt Eddy. His upper-70s curveball has more depth, but Miller rarely throws it for strikes, while his changeup is the inverse and lives around the zone but doesnt usually have big action. He throws two plus secondaries a mid-80s changeup and a low-80s slider, each with good movement and high whiff-rates and hes shown the ability to locate each of his offerings, boasting strikeout rates over 34% at all three minor league levels. 4 starter fairly soon even if the arrow is currently pointing down. His season started as good as it could, with Keisel starting a no-hitter, going 5.1 innings with 11 strikeouts. Previous ranking: No. Throw in the visual twitch and athleticism, and this is the player Spotifys algorithm would recommend to FanGraphs if prospects were musical artists. Hes also worked to make himself more lithe and athletic since first arriving on the Dodgers backfields shortly after he signed, when Dodgers coaches were asking a fresh-faced Vargas to make mid-game swing-changes that incorporated more movement into his conservative cut. The Red Sox have said that theyll manage his workload by DHing him and letting their righty-hitting corner bats caddy for him against some lefty starters. Even though Stones delivery looks like the sort that can create a power pitchers angle and shape on his fastball, it isnt a dominant in-zone pitch, and his slider/cutter plays more due to command rather than pure stuff. DI indoor T&F championship selections revealed, How La. Outfielder Dillon Carter went 9-for-14 with two home runs on the weekend to lead the Red Raiders. 15. Baty made some subtle swing changes that may have better actualized his plus-plus raw power. With ace Hunter Elliott dealing with some tightness, Rivas will need to step up big for Ole Miss. Any discussion of Walker begins with his exit velocities, which are nearly unheard of for a player this young. There was some demographic push and pull happening in the guts of Montgomerys amateur profile that we can already reflect on a bit. He showed a tendency to expand the zone and make some sub-optimal contact as an amateur and in his 2022 pro sample, but there are times when Johnson does this and rather than frustrate scouts and analysts, he impresses them with his ability to identify and adjust to breaking balls, his barrel feel, and his hand-eye coordination. Drafted and mostly deployed as a third baseman, Mayo has projected as a right fielder since his draft year because of his size. Hes set up to throw about 135 innings in 2023 (assuming a typical 20-inning increase) and, if his annual pattern of promotion is any indication, hell be given his first big league opportunity late this year (and push for a playoff roster spot), then compete for an Opening Day rotation job in 2024. That continued in 2022 when Allen reached Triple-A and put himself in position to claim a rotation spot this season should the need arise. 63South FloridaAmerican3FL5-3605863 45BaylorBig 126TX6-11346259 He continued to play well as a junior, showing better barrel feel from the left side than he did as a sophomore. Cappe has an ideal baseball frame, as well as the athleticism, hands, and arm strength to play shortstop, and while his swing is a little noisy and imbalanced, he tracks pitches well and finds a way to put the bat on them even if it isnt always pretty. He tends to work contact to center and right field, especially against fastballs, and he has a clear two-strike approach where he ditches his leg kick and takes a more conservative swing. By the middle of 2022, Bibee was sitting 95. 71Long Beach StateBig West4CA7-8633978 INF Peyton Chatagnier A sparkplug from the Rebels 2022 championship, Chatagnier continues to create a legacy in Oxford. 10 Last Week: 2-2 Overall: 4-3, 0-0 in Big 12 (2-0 vs. Top 25) Weekend Record: 1-1 Results Feb. 22: Texas-Arlington: W 7-3 Feb. 24-26: Florida State: L 10-1, L 10-8, W 3-2 Upcoming Feb. 28: @ Dallas Baptist Shriners Hospital for Children College Classic (Houston) March 3: vs. Michigan March 4: vs. (4) Louisville March 5: vs. RiceAfter its big Opening Weekend performance at the College Baseball Showdown in Arlington, Texas, TCU wasnt able to build on its momentum and lost a series at home to Florida State. Defensively, he has mostly played second base so far in his professional career, with just a handful of starts at short. The Cavaliers bats stayed hot and theyre averaging 12.7 runs per game in the early going. 1 in the Baseball America Top 25 after winning the Karbach Round Rock Classic. Scouts are putting Carlos Gonzlez comps on his body and swing, and think hell be an everyday corner guy in a few years. If the Giants are contending for a playoff spot, he may be called up during the 2023 season, perhaps first in a bullpen capacity, but he projects as an eventual impact starter. The Diamondbacks selected Pfaadt with their final pick in 2020s abbreviated draft. He was a model-friendly prospect because of his age and performance, and a scout-friendly prospect because of his relative polish (especially on defense), physicality, and showcase tools. What if Michael Brantley played shortstop? Carter has put up video game numbers in the mid-minors but his visual scouting report doesnt really jive with his surface-level output. Here he stays in the same FV tier as last year but falls within that tier due to his 2022 performance. Arizona State; 44. His feel for contact has been lauded since he first entered pro ball, while his defensive ability at third and his middling power have kept him in more of a high probability role player bucket here at FanGraphs than in a star-level FV tier despite his on-paper performance. 50LibertyA-Sun1VA325758155 For instance, Marte isnt easy to beat in the strike zone. Synergy Sports has film of Collier seeing about 1,300 pitches since 2020, a gigantic sample for a teenage prospect. He ran an 83% Z-contact rate in 2022, which again, is right on the precipice of viability, as chase-prone, low-OBP hitters like Ozzie Albies and Jonathan Schoop have shown. He has a shot to break camp with the big club and play a huge role on the next Orioles contender. It cost him all of 2022. Romo is a plus-gloved catching prospect with uncommon feel for contact from both sides of the plate, though the contact he makes is not very hard. His open batting stance and deep pre-stride crouch are much more extreme than they were last year, and this change might have enabled him to see the ball better (similar to the way opening his stance helped unlock peak D-backs Luis Gonzalez) and improve his bat-to-ball ability enough for all of his modest power to play, especially in the Cal League. He has been a hot knife slicing butter all the way through Double-A and shows little signs of stopping. Jobes stuff has more spin than the 24-hour news networks, but he had a rough first season in pro ball. Hell be just one of a whole host of All-American candidates in the LSU lineup. Hes now a bounce back prospect. Thats because we have also included the 50 FV prospects whose ranking fell outside the 100, an acknowledgement both that the choice to rank exactly 100 prospects (as opposed to 110 or 210 or some other number entirely) is an arbitrary one and that there isnt a ton of daylight between the prospects who appear in that part of the list. His rare raw thump has already begun to manifest in games, as Cartaya clubbed 22 homers in 2022, a season after he dealt with multiple injuries that severely limited his playing time. Others that made big jumps into the Top 100 include Central Michigan (No. So Lawlar isnt quite as good as his cartoonish stats his present hit/power combination is actually closer to average but he does everything well and is a potential plus defender at short because of his acrobatics. 4 Ole Miss in Oxford for the first time since 1989, LSU remains No. Its comforting that there are contemporary examples of hitters making a huge impact who share Chourios potential blemish, ones who make that impact despite all the ponchados by getting to big power. Poised to compete for a rotation spot when 2023 camp breaks, Ortiz is one of a few high-upside Pirates youngsters who look like theyd fit in a contenders rotation. Caminero has plus-plus bat speed, but his pitch recognition and swing path are concerning. His slider has two-plane sweep, while his curveball (more commonly used as an in-zone pitch and against lefties) is north/south and sometimes also has arm-side direction. Hes likely to move off shortstop eventually, but it probably wont be for a while; the longer he stays there, the more margin for error the hit tool component, which were a tad apprehensive about, will have as he begins his big league career. Hes hit 57 home runs combined the last two years while running sub-30% groundball rates and average launch angles in the 22-25 degree range, both of which are extreme by big league standards. 41Wake ForestACC11NC5115242NR The Cowboys will look to keep things rolling this week, starting with a familiar foe in Missouri Statea matchup that produced a wild 29-15 elimination game in last years Stillwater Regional. Laviolette slugged two homers and got on base at a .471 clip to get his collegiate career started. Jones combination of present baseball ability and physical projection were unmatched in the 2022 draft class. His approach is solid, though there are some issues chasing breaking balls, and his in-zone swing-and-miss was a fair bit below average in 2022 (he swings inside a lot of sliders), but were talking about a 20-year-old at Double-A here. Its fair to consider there to be subjective and persistent relief risk here related to Flores delivery and the length of his arm action. Thats a decrease of four teams for California since 2019, and an increase of one team for Texas. Over the last year, Prez has added about 30 pounds, experienced a two-tick fastball velocity bump, and incorporated a second, harder breaking ball that has become his primary non-fastball weapon. 79ArmyPatriot1NY11089NRNR For now, its amazing how sentient his feel to hit is considering his age and size. The Commodores rotation of lefthanders Carter Holton, Hunter Owens and Devin Futtrell did not allow a run in 15.1 innings against the Bruins. Hernandez has a great skill and athleticism foundation, and he already has incredible power for a shortstop his age, capable of hitting oppo lasers. Pfaadts fading change flashes bat-missing action, but it also flattens at times, and even though Pfaadt is comfortable enough to use it against righties, its the pitch he has the least consistent feel for locating. Lawlar is a slick shortstop defender with big power and a somewhat shaky hit tool. 40) is 30 spots, and theres a substantial difference in talent between them. Vanderbilt heads North this weekend to take on a trio of Big Ten opponents in the Cambria College Classic at U.S. Bank Stadium, the home of the Minnesota Vikings. Rodriguezs arm is comfortably plus. 21 Last Week: 3-1 Overall: 4-3, 0-0 in Big 12 (0-2 vs. Top 25) Weekend Record: 1-1 Results Feb. 21: California Baptist: W 2-0 Feb. 25-26: Loyola Marymount: W 1-0, L 10-8 (10), W 11-1 Upcoming Feb. 28: @ Missouri State March 3-5: Austin Peay StateOklahoma State bounced back strong from a tough Opening Weekend and threw back-to-back no-hitters against California Baptist and Loyola Marymount. UConn; 40. 16 spot after an impressive series win against then-No. Cappe has a prototypical shortstops build and good feel for contact. lvarez begins in an open set up and then straightens out upon swing initiation without taking a big step or needing a timing mechanism. Even though hes still eons from the big leagues, the Cubs were compelled to put Alcantara on their 40-man roster during the offseason to protect him from the Rule 5 Draft. 2023 Fantasy Baseball Top 100 . Harrisons fastball sits 93-94 mph, topping out around 98, and it plays up thanks to its shape and the deceptively low lefty arm slot Harrison hurls it from. Add to that his plus-plus defense at an up-the-middle position, and hes on track for star-level everyday center field role. Lawlars throwing stroke to first base can sometimes be a little odd, but he finds all kinds of crazy ways to contort his body and send the baseball where it needs to go, which is especially true of his feeds to second base. He ultimately fell to the White Sox at 22nd overall, and a little over a year removed from his selection, that looks like an absolute steal. And Carroll can really motor: hes a no-doubt 80 runner and routinely posts sub-4.00 second times to first base. He struggles to set up his slider with well-located fastballs, and even when he does its not a given that hell land the slider after its been set up. Previous ranking: No. After an Opening Day upset loss to New Mexico, the Beavers have run off six straight wins. The good news is that Alcantara already has enough pop to do damage to the opposite field and hes probably going to grow into much more as his wispy frame continues to fill out. He also throws a changeup and a slider, both of which show promise, though neither was featured much in his 2022 mix. Davis skills and offensive style are tailored like those of Evan Gattis. Jobe was the consensus top high school arm in the 2021 draft and earned a bonus of nearly $7 million as the third overall pick. The transfer outfielder will look to anchor this NC State lineup that lost key pieces over the offseason. Even at shortstop, there isnt a full-time player in the big leagues who punches out quite that often. Nelson spent most of his college career in the bullpen showing huge stuff, fringe command, and repertoire depth that led to optimism surrounding his development as a starter. To call Naylors 2022 a return to form isnt exactly correct, however, because much of his resurgence was due to swing alterations that made his bat path a little more variable, which he outlined in an interview with our own David Laurila. Jones swing isnt quite dialed in. His mid-90s fastball missed bats up in the zone and above it, and he commanded all three secondaries, with above-average spin across the board. 12TexasBig 122TX34162015 Before he got hurt, there were folks in baseball who considered him a top 30 prospect, so his ceiling is big enough to include him on the top 100 now even though hes coming off injury. Keith was in the AFL because he missed all but about two months of the regular season with a shoulder injury. Mayo keeps hitting despite his odd swing, and we think the hit/power combo will be enough for him to be an impact player, even with a move off the dirt projected. Given that injury has always been the primary concern for Cavalli, the way his season ended is a letdown after a couple years of exciting progress. His fastball velocity is down, in the 92-94 mph range, a far cry from Priesters upper-90s peak. With a good team around him, expect more of the same from Dettmer, who will lead this A&M pitching staff. The FV grade is more important than the ordinal ranking. Constant max-effort hacking often leads to lots of strikeouts, but Wiemer had mostly kept his Ks in check until 2022, when he punched out 30% of the time at Double-A Biloxi. He might have to augment his swing to get to all of that power, and the chase component threatens to drag the hit tool down, but guys who hit the ball this often and this hard tend to turn into good big leaguers. The other biggest climbers are Virginia Tech (up 45 spots), Louisiana Tech (up 43), Maryland (up 33) and Oregon (up 26). It can be tough to turn over a changeup from his arm slot, but that slot is also part of how Bibee creates depth on his curveball, which has become a show-me pitch that he lands in the zone at will. The league-wide statistical standard at third base is very high right now due to the depth of excellent players at the top of that position group, and when you compare Vargas tools and underlying data to what constitutes an average regular at the hot corner, he tends to hover around average in terms of both contact quality and frequency, and a little below when it comes to high-end power, which is consistent with his visual evaluation. The Rangers took him 50th overall and he signed for $1.25 million. The 6-8 righty struck out ten Omaha batters over 6 innings, earning him the win. 13Florida StateACC2FL2-67711 He has quick actions and his lateral agility is better than his long speed on the bases. NC RPI: Non-Conference RPI. Martes body and athleticism regressed in 2022, and he looked pretty rough in the Arizona Fall League. He walked at hefty 15% clip in June, three times as much as he had to that point in the season, and his strikeout rate barely moved even though he was running deeper counts. Because fate was cruel to his playing time in college, his pro data sample is already much bigger than his college one, which has helped reveal that he has premium feel for the strike zone. His stuff was down in 2022 but is still good, and Rodriguez should be a mid-rotation stalwart in short order. Theres substantial bust risk here but the ceiling is huge, too big to move off of Hernandez after a whiff-prone first year stateside. 1 Last Week: 3-1 Overall: 6-1, 0-0 in SEC (0-0 vs. Top 25) Weekend Record: 2-0 Results Feb. 21: @ Southern: W 18-4 Karbach Round Rock Classic (Round Rock, Texas) Feb. 24: vs. Kansas State: W 7-3 Feb. 25: vs. Iowa: L 12-4 Feb. 26: vs. Sam Houston State: W 16-4 Upcoming Feb. 28: @ Texas March 3: Butler March 4-5: Central Connecticut StateLSU took its first loss of the season Saturday against Iowa, but bounced back to rout Sam Houston State to be named champion of the Karbach Round Rock Classic. Collier has stand-out raw strength and generates it across a very short mechanical distance, capable of driving thunderous contact to center and left/center with a flick of his wrists. Southern Miss; 49. Most of his swings and misses over the last few years have been on fastballs running away from him, but in 2022, he displayed a more advanced ability to poke the barrel at balls on the outer edge of the plate, extending his short levers in an effort to slap outside pitches the other way. While his profile is that of an offense-first catcher, lvarez is unlikely to be a true liability back there and has more than enough stick to make up for his defensive deficiencies. Knee and hamstring surgery effectively knocked him out for the 2020 season, then Lee hit .341/.384/.626 in 2021 and had a huge summer on Cape Cod, with six homers in just 21 games. Alabama, Georgia, Indiana have four teams apiece on the list. In that case, were talking about a rock solid everyday player in the Mark Canha mold, and in fact Vargas career has tracked in a similar fashion, especially as we stand on the precipice of a likely position change. Most apparently, his batting stance is more upright now than in prior seasons, and as he was getting his feet wet in the big leagues late in 2022, Baty was better able to get his bat to fastballs up and away from him, which had been a problem in the minors. RHP Nick Dean Dean will return to College Park for his senior season after starting 15 games in 2022. When the Double-A season came to a close, Soderstrom was promoted again to close out Stocktons Triple-A season. Vargas doesnt have the sort of projectable, statuesque frame typical of a hitter in his early 20s, and despite the relevant changes to his swing, he still isnt an especially electric athlete and the cement appears quite dry on his physique, so theres not much reason to project on his raw power going forward. Miller pairs the heater with a sharp, mid-80s slider and locates both with consistency, good for a combined 50% strikeout rate, while issuing just three walks across 14 innings in 2022. His slider can bend in as hard as 94 mph and has late, two-plane finish. Louisville this week faces a sterner test as it leaves home for the first time to play in the Shriners College Classic at Minute Maid Park, a weekend that includes a rematch with two of its 2022 NCAA Tournament opponents (Texas A&M and Michigan). Hes tracking to debut ahead of his draft class typical 40-man timeline, perhaps as early as mid-2023 if things click with his command. Acua slashed .317/.417/.483 at High-A before finishing the season at Double-A, where his numbers deflated across the board, though that did include his strikeout rate, which he brought down to 21% at the more advanced level. Subscribe to get the best baseball coverage. The fluctuations in velocity, Nelsons mechanical look, and his end-of-year scapula injury in 2022 wrap his profile in long-term relief risk, but thats pretty standard among big stuff pitchers toward the back of the top 100. He finished that season with a 10-game A-ball stint, where he struck out in 16 of his 42 plate appearances. OF Braden Montgomery Remember this guys name. Drafted in 2018, his trajectory has been riddled with development-delaying injury, and 2022 was seen as the year he would hopefully put it all together. Previous ranking: No. He had among the highest average exit velocities in college baseball at a whopping 98 mph, though that came with what would constitute 40-grade peak exit velocities, around 105 mph (and with a BBCOR bat major league players average is 110 mph with wood). Hes going to get to whatever raw power he ends up growing into and has a good shot to be a middle infield regular, though probably not until 2026 or so just based on his 40-man timeline.There are mixed feelings about his defensive fit, with most of Erics sources projecting him to second base (a mix of scouts and analysts), which is where he had him coming out of high school. Editor's note: The following article was published first on d1baseball.com. Ortiz rocketed through the system in 2022, skipping High-A and spending most of the season with Double-A Altoona before making his big league debut across four starts in September and October. Bibees velocity ticked way up in pro ball, and he has command of a mid-rotation starters four-pitch mix. On a universal prospect continuum, Henderson grades out a shade below some of the 70 FV or better prospects from recent years like Shohei Ohtani, Wander Franco, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., and (gulp) Gavin Lux (who is now tracking like a 60, thank goodness) because were talking about a corner bat with what might be a 45-grade hit tool. Neto dials down his footwork with two strikes and becomes even tougher to put away. And even though he has some approach-driven bust risk, he does enough other stuff to project in a prominent big league role if his chase proves too much for him to be an everyday player. Instead of a short stride toward the mound, his step is toward the plate, maintaining the width as he closes his stance, with quick lower-body rotation as he muscles the barrel through the zone. Hes adept at dropping it into the top of the strike zone, around the hands of left-handed hitters who think its a fastball above the zone until it cuts down onto the corner. While his ball/strike recognition isnt good, Tovar is otherwise an advanced hitter. There is some analytical fire to back up the smoke the scouts are smelling. 23 Last Week: 3-0-1 Overall: 5-1-1, 0-0 in SEC (0-0 vs. Top 25) Weekend Record: 2-0 Results Feb. 21: vs. North Alabama (Huntsville, Ala.): W 13-1 Feb. 24-26: Southern California: W 5-3, W 12-6, T 12-12 Upcoming March 1: Florida A&M March 3-5: Lipscomb Bad weather in Los Angeles forced Auburns series against USC to be relocated to The Plains and the Tigers picked up a solid series win. 89CreightonBig East2NE2-12779677 Merrill only hit .325/.387/.482 in 45 Cal League games, a line good for a 125 wRC+ in the hitter-friendly league and aided by a .393 BABIP. Things arent so bad that hes in a red flag bust risk area because of his hit tool, but its enough that it will probably dial down how much in-game power hes actually getting to. Even as a pure reliever at this point, Hall still belongs on a Top 100 list due to his proximity and the likelihood that he becomes a lights out lefty closer or multi-inning buzzsaw who provides some amount of karmic retribution for the Josh Hader trade. Ideally, hell have a four- and two-seam variant at peak and be able to work both north/south and east/west with his fastball, but as of 2022, his fastball command was still quite crude. Out over the plate, he has a tendency to stay inside fastballs and lift them toward the opposite field gap. Plus, lvarez isnt nearly as chase-prone as Alfaro and has much more power than Bart, so he should outperform both. Sengas walk rate fell from the 10-11% range to the 8-8.5% range during that stretch, and his WHIP was a measly 1.05. Lesko hasnt thrown a pro pitch yet due to TJ rehab, but his changeup and pre-injury velocity and fastball playability demand he be one here toward the back. RHP Joseph Gonzalez Gonzalez was terrific for the Tigers in 2022, starting 14 games with a 3.22 ERA. Of course, he has game-changing arm strength. LHP Henry Weycker Virginia Techs entire pitching staff had a good week, with quality outings from each of their starters. Eders delivery has changed since college. Its worth developing him at catcher for at least a while since that position is at the very top of the defensive spectrum, and Paradas other seemingly viable positions are at or near the bottom. For one, he struck out in a third of his A-ball plate appearances, and the track record for hitters who K that much at such a low level is not very good. 69San Diego StateMWC1CA6-16534543 More disappointing though is that the shape of the heater hasnt played the way it was hoped to or how the TrackMan data that came out of his time at Vandy hinted that it might, having lost some of the ghost-like deception that flummoxed opposing college batters. 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