The line in each graph is the regression line generated by the equations in Table 2. Republicans currently hold 20 of the 34 seats at stake in 2022. Quebec Election 2022 Date: October 3rd, 2022. Two predictors largely explain the variation in seat swing in midterm elections: the generic ballot and the number of House and Senate seats defended by the presidents party. Find out how all this works in our. In Abramowitz's model, he sets that at 222 Democratic House seats (out of 435) and 14 Senate seats (out of 34 up in 2022). Items are listed in reverse chronological order by date of change, with the most recent change appearing first. Fifty-two districts were open because the incumbent did not run for re-election, five were open because they were newly created districts where no incumbent filed to run. We value on-the-ground sourcing above everything else. Apportionment is the process whereby the 435 districts in the U.S. House of Representatives are allotted to the states on the basis of population. Higher bars represent more common outcomes. Additionally, the data drives a daily update newsletter and various media outlets across the country. Lyndon Johnson's (D) first term began in November 1963 after the death of President John F. Kennedy (D), who was first elected in 1960. 2022 United States House of Representatives Predictions. Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin's battleground seat got slightly easier in redistricting, but the GOP thinks it can oust her with a national tailwind. -- Our projected gubernatorial picture is 29-21 Republican, or a net Republican gain Dear Readers: Crystal Ball editors Kyle Kondik and J. McLeod-Skinner defeated Schrader in the primary. [47][48], The following table displays members included in the NRCC's Patriot Program for the 2022 election cycle. Click here for our coverage of special elections to the 117th Congress. Senate Projection. 2022 Election Predictions, State Pages, Special Elections . We work hard to make predictions that are both accurate and defensible. The latest results and live updates on the 2022 midterm House of Representatives elections by state. Incumbents filed to run in the newly created Florida's 28th and Texas' 27th Congressional Districts. We'll always be transparent about why we're making a certain rating. All 435 districts were up for election. Depending then on which side has the edge in the generic ballot,. Miles Coleman, The House: GOP Hits 218 in Ratings as Battle Rages Across Big Playing Field, Recent Midterm History: More Complicated Than You Think, Following the Money: What Outside Spending Tells Us About the Race for the House, Lessons from the Past: What 1978 and 1982 Tell Us About 2022, The Seats-in-Trouble Forecasts of the 2022 Midterm Congressional Elections, Forecasting 2022 Using the Fundamentals: The Structural and Structure X Models. A model using the generic ballot and seat exposure shows that a single digit lead on the generic ballot would give Democrats a good chance to keep control of the Senate. Democratic Rep. Cindy Axne survived 2020, despite Donald Trump carrying her Des Moines-based district. November 7:CA-13, CA-22, IL-17, MI-07, NV-03, NY-03, NY-19, OH-01, OH-13, PA-07, PA-08, PA-17, RI-02, TX-34, VA-02 move from Toss-up to Leans R; CA-49, CT-05, WA-08 Leans D to Leans R; IN-01, ME-02, MI-08, MN-02, TX-28 Toss-up to Leans D.Read the analysis >. 26th February 2023. There were 35 U.S. House districts and one seat in the U.S. Senate in 2022 that were effectively guaranteed to one major party because no candidate from the other party appeared on the general election ballot, accounting for 8.0% of all U.S. House races and 2.9% of all U.S. Senate races. See the rest of our predictions. Size of this PNG preview of this SVG file: 424 600 pixels. Denotes the party that had more seats in the U.S. House following the election. The generic ballot provides a measure of the national political environment at the time of the midterm election while the number of seats defended by the presidents party provides a measure of exposure to risk. We rated every race in play in 2022. Updated: 5:29 PM CST March 1, 2022. 100% remote. The court also extended the filing deadline from March 22, 2022, to April 15, 2022. These boundaries will be in effect through 2022. A map of how the 2022 U.S. House districts. [39] Also included is each district's 2022 partisan lean as of July 2022 from The Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight. Premier Franois Legault and his Coalition Avenir Qubec are certain to win the next provincial election. Candidates start in the On the Radar phase before qualifying as a Contender, then as a full-fledged Young Gun. Looking for the national forecast? Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own forecast for the 435 House elections in 2022. The table below lists changes made to election dates and deadlines in the 2022 election cycle. Five of the chamber's six non-voting members were up for election as well. Hover over or click a district to see the presidential vote counts. Full election results. Some information, including the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and commentaries are available for free to the general public. Last updated Nov. 8, 2022, 2:08 p.m. PST Steve Shepard Chief POLITICO election reporter Election Day arrived with 217 seats in the "Solid," "Likely" or "Lean Republican" category putting. 2022 U.S. House Elections with multiple incumbents. In the sections below, you will find: Click here for our Election Day coverage of the November 8, 2022, U.S. House election results. Subscriptions are available for $4.95 a month or 34.95 a year that provide subscribers with exclusive access to more than 20 stories per week on upcoming elections, consumer confidence, and issues that affect us all. Ellis' calculations included blank votes in this race. This article is reprinted from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Miles Coleman Posted November 7, 2022. The index, developed by Charles Cook of the The Cook Political Report, compares each congressional district's score to that of the nation as a whole. The court's order did not affect the July 22, 2022, deadline for candidates qualifying by paying the filing fee. House results have ranged from a loss of 64 seats to a gain of eight seats while Senate results have ranged from a loss of 13 seats to a gain of four seats. [56][57], The following table displays candidates who have qualified for the Young Guns Vanguard program for the 2022 election cycle. The seat of the Resident Commissioner of Puerto Rico, whose functions are similar to the delegates, was not up for election this year. This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible. The House model is highly accurate, explaining over 80% of the variance in seat swing. In 2022, 52 districts were open because the incumbent did not run for re-election. These boundaries will be in effect through 2022. Ballotpedia's 2022 state primary election competitiveness data analyzes all state legislative, state executive, and congressional elections that took place in 2022. -- That said, there are also a lot of contradictory signs. Use this map to create and share your own 2022 House Election forecast. The original filing deadline was set for March 11, 2022. Table 1 shows that the presidents party has lost House seats in 17 of 19 midterm elections since World War II and Senate seats in 13 of 19. If you're looking to stake $100 at -350, you will make a $28.57 profit if the elephant prevails. The Supreme Court of Pennsylvania suspended the candidate filing period for the primary election, pending resolution of a redistricting dispute. This is an interactive House map derived from the Deluxe version of theFiveThirtyEight 2022 Election Forecast. Our 2022 election forecast is final and no longer updating. -- The goal is to use micro level (congressional district and state) competitiveness assessments in combination with their electoral history to statistically generate an accurate prediction of the KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- A congressional forecasting model using political and economic fundamentals suggests that Republicans are favored to flip both the House and the Senate. Philippe J. Fournier is a political columnist for . Democrats currently hold an extraordinarily narrow 220-211 seat majority in the House of Representatives with four . 213 -10. Considered the weaker side, a $100 bet on the Democrats would yield a profit of $225 in the case of an upset. The Senate, of course, is split down the middle with Democrats in the majority by virtue of holding the tie-breaking vote in the person of Vice President Kamala Harris. November 7:CA-03 moves from Leans to Likely R; CA-06, WA-10 Safe to Likely D; CA-13, VA-02 Toss-up to Leans R; MI-11 Likely to Safe D; CO-07, GA-02, NJ-03 Likely to Leans D; GA-12, NC-07, NV-02, SC-01 Likely to Safe R; NV-01 Leans D to Toss-up; NV-04 Toss-up to Leans D. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. Hover over a district for more information. The candidate of Labour Party, Thaddeus Attah, has been declared the winner of the Eti-Osa Federal Constituency seat in the House of Representatives. This article summarizes congressional and state legislative actions in each state in the 2020 cycle. You can also view these ratingsas a table. The forecast updates at least once a day and whenever we get a new poll. Current Sabato's Crystal Ball 2022 House forecast. All 435 seats were up for election. Nine incumbents six Democrats and three Republicans were defeated. Battle for the House 2022. We use polling where appropriate, but we always factor in our understanding of the pollster's quality. November 7: FL-13 moves from Likely to Leans Republican; FL-27 Leans to Likely Republican; TX-28 Leans Democratic to Toss-up. Current House: 221 Democrats | 212 Republicans | 2 Vacancies. We are just 600 short days away from the 2022 midterm elections, which means it is the perfect time to handicap the Republicans' chances to win back the House, Senate and prepare a serious. Dots closer to the line represent tighter races, and wider bars mean more uncertainty about the outcome. View live updates on electoral votes by state for presidential candidates Joe Biden and Donald Trump on ABC News. CrowdwisdomLive Quebec Election 2022 Predictions: . Miles Coleman, and Larry J. Sabato. RCP Senate Map Race Changes. By Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik, and J. Ballotpedia defines wave elections as the 20 percent of elections where the president's party lost the most seats during the last 100 years (50 election cycles). The Vanguard program exists to provide support to candidates running in Republican-leaning open seats. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 House forecast. The following map shows each state with a Republican battleground primary for U.S. House in 2022. But 2022 will be a steeper climb. The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither party currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. [52] Also included is each district's 2022 partisan lean as of July 2022 from The Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight. Facebook Tweet Pin Email. The most vulnerable GOP incumbent in the country might be Rep. Mike Garcia, whose district north of Los Angeles voted for President Joe Biden by 13 points. Joe Kent's margin of victory over Herrera Beutler in the primary. All 435 seats will be contested, most with redrawn boundaries. As with the House, the margin of control in the next Senate is likely to be very narrow. RCP Gov Map Race . There were 33 U.S. House battlegrounds in 2022. Louisiana primaries are held on Election Day. Miles Coleman, along with our Center for Politics colleague Carah Ong Whaley, will be hosting a Twitter Spaces at noon eastern on Thursday to discuss the looming midterm elections. All Rights Reserved. For a list of seats that opened up as a result of an incumbent losing re-election in a primary, see the following section. Even if Republicans fail to win any of the 26 Toss Up races just 1 of the 26 would give them the majority they are currently projected to gain 4 seats. Republicans formally captured 218 House seats, a delayed yet consequential finish to the 2022 midterm elections. To ensure editorial control and independence, we pay for the polls ourselves and generate revenue through the sale of subscriptions, sponsorships, and advertising. Click here for more information about apportionment after the 2020 census. The figures shown are total numbers. With ten days until the November 8 midterm elections, political forecasters and pollsters say Republicans appear to have a strong chance of retaking control of the House of Representatives.. Forty-four (44) states adopted congressional district maps. The 2023 Nigerian House of Representatives elections in Abia State will be held on 25 February 2023, to elect the 3 House of Representatives members from Abia State, one from each of the state's three senatorial districts. National House generic ballot polling can be a useful tool in projecting the overall results of House and Senate elections. The tendency of the presidents party to lose seats in Congress in midterm elections is one of the best-known regularities in American politics. Ballotpedia considers a seat to be open if the incumbent representative did not file to run for re-election or if they filed for re-election but withdrew before the primary. Based on results from recent elections, I set the range of possible generic ballot results for next fall as +10 Democratic to -10 Democratic (or +10 Republican). See Other Commentary by Dr. Alan Abramowitz. The Interactive and 2023 views use redistricted lines, placing incumbents where applicable. Seven states (California, Illinois, Michigan, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia) lost seats.[62]. This chart lists each district that the DCCC announced it would seek to defend via the Frontline program in 2022. The North Carolina State Board of Elections announced that candidate filing, having been suspended by the state supreme court in December 2021, would resume on February 24, 2022, and conclude on March 4, 2022. McLeod-Skinner's margin of victory over Schrader in the primary. -- So far, outside groups have spent money in 57 House districts. KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- Our final Senate pick is 51-49 Republican, or a net Republican gain of 1 seat. Toss-up to Leans R: CA-22, IL-17, IN-01, MI-07, NV-03, OH-01, OH-09, PA-17, RI-02, TX-34. 2024 House Interactive Map 2024 Pundit Forecasts 2022 House Polls 2022 House Simulation View Your 2022 District 2022 House Retirements 2022 House Election Results. [43][44][45][46] The table below lists target districts and incumbents leading up to the 2022 elections. If we assume that redistricting will be worth an additional 10 House seats to the GOP, Democrats would likely need a lead of at least 10 points on the generic ballot in order to maintain control of the lower chamber. The final2022 House ratings from Politico. This is not surprising given the much smaller number of Senate seats contested in each election and the larger potential impact of local factors such as candidate quality and fundraising. This was more than in 2020 but fewer than at any other point in the preceding decade. Governor Charlie Baker (R) signed a bill into law that rescheduled the state's primary election from September 20, 2022, to September 6, 2022. In that race, Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) defeated Rita Hart (D) by a margin of 6 votes out of nearly 400,000 cast, the narrowest margin of victory in any U.S. House election since 1984. The closer fit of the data points to the prediction line in the House data is very clear from these figures. The following table displays members listed as "On the Radar" in the NRCC's Young Guns program for the 2022 election cycle. Read the Analysis >. Republicans 29 seats not up for election. The generic congressional vote rating indicates which political party voters support in a congressional election. By Happy Elections Nerd November 16, 2021 July 11, 2022 u.s. house of representatives. The charts below show primary competitiveness statistics for the U.S. House from 2014 to 2022. Figure 1 displays a scatterplot of the relationship between the forecasts generated by the generic ballot model and the actual seat swing in House and Senate elections between 1946 and 2018. Interns wanted: Get paid to help ensure that every voter has unbiased election information. November 1:AK-AL, AZ-04, KS-03, NH-01, PA-17 move from Toss-up to Leans D; CA-27, CO-08, NC-13, NV-03, NY-19, OR-05, VA-02 Toss-up to Leans R; CA-40 Safe to Likely R; CA-47, CT-05, NY-04, VA-7, WA-08 Leans D to Toss-up; CT-03 Likely to Safe D; NE-02 Likely to Leans R. The final 2022 House ratings from Elections Daily, a site that provides nonpartisan election coverage. Five of the chamber's six non-voting members were up for election as well. These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Box 400806Charlottesville, VA 22904, 2020 By the Rector and Visitors of the University of Virginia. Click here! The closest U.S. House race in 2022 was in Colorado's 3rd Congressional District, where Lauren Boebert (R) defeated Adam Frisch (D) by a margin of 0.17%, or 546 votes out of more than 300,000 cast. In the House data, the only point that appears to be conspicuously far removed from the line is the one for 2002 the midterm election that occurred shortly after the 9/11 attacks at a time when the incumbent president, George W. Bush, remained extraordinarily popular. For 2022 to qualify historically as a wave election, Democrats must lose 48 U.S. House seats in 2022. All 435 U.S. House seats are up for election this year. In 2022, there were 67 incumbent members of congressseven U.S. senators and 60 members of the U.S. Housewho did not file to run for re-election, amounting to 14.3% of those members eligible to run for re-election. -- Going solely by presidential partisanship, our moves in Alaska and South Texas would seem odd, but each areahaskeyidiosyncrasies. KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- The spending decisions by big outside House groups can inform us about the most competitive House races. His latest book,The Great Alignment: Race, Party Transformation, and the Rise of Donald Trump, was released in 2018 by Yale University Press. Ten districts were open because the incumbent lost in a primary. Gibbs' margin of victory over Meijer in the primary. Nov. 6, 2022 Georgia's 2nd District Previous rating: Likely Democratic Democratic Rep. Sanford Bishop is still favored for reelection, but GOP Gov. November 7: CA-22, PA-17, RI-02, TX-34 move from Toss-up to Tilts R; CA-49, IN-01, NY-03 Leans to Tilts D; CT-05, NV-01 Tilts D to Toss-up; IL-08, WA-06 Safe to Likely D; ME-02, MN-02 Toss-up to Leans D; NY-22 Leans to Tilts R; OH-01 Toss-up to Leans R; TX-28 Tilts to Leans D; VA-02 Tilts to Leans R; WA-08 Leans D to Toss-up. The district runs from just . A similar situation occurred in the 2012 election, in which Republicans managed to hold onto their majority despite losing the national popular vote for the House. [53][54], The following table displays candidates who qualified as Young Guns for the 2022 election cycle. The party gained a net of nine districts. Redistricting has no bearing on Senate elections, and the 2022 Senate map appears favorable for Democrats. [42] As of June 9, 2022, the NRCC listed 75 districts on its target district list. Because Ford only served for two full months before facing the electorate, this election is classified as Nixon's second midterm. The darker the square, the greater the likelihood this will occur. Gluesenkamp defeated Kent in the general election. The state court then issued an order establishing new candidate filing deadlines. An even, 50-50 split of the Toss Up districts would translate to a 17-seat Republican gain. Of those, 212 currently belong to Republicans and 220 to Democrats, with 3 . Rep. Jackie Walorski (R) died on August 3, 2022. The candidate listed may change based on primary results or other factors. The Interactive and 2023 views use redistricted lines, placing incumbents where applicable. The following table compared U.S. House race ratings from The Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections prior to the November 2022 elections. Colorado. [35][36] Also included is each district's 2022 partisan lean as of May 2022 from The Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight. Primary elections, however, can provide insight on future elections as they help dictate the direction each party takes. Upset wins are surprising but not impossible. The U.S. House incumbents listed in the table below announced their candidacy for the same congressional district for the 2022 U.S. House elections. The Current House view on the map shows incumbent members in their current districts. The final 2022 House ratings fromSplit Ticket, a political content and mapping site produced by #ElectionTwitter veterans @thomas_armin, @HWLavelleMaps,@lxeagle17, and @macrotargeting. Ballotpedia identified 33 of the 435 House races (8.5%) as battlegrounds. [14] One district Indiana's 2nd was vacant because the incumbent passed away.[15]. These boundaries will be in effect through 2022. All 435 districts were up for election. We're constantly speaking with campaigns to form our ratings. There were 30 U.S. House Democratic battleground primaries in 2022. Governor Spencer Cox (R) signed SB170 into law, moving the candidate filing deadline to March 4, 2022. Terms of service | Privacy Policy | Do not sell my info | Notice to California Residents, Design & development: Andrew Briz, Beatrice Jin, Arjun Kakkar, Andrew McGill, Allan James Vestal, Audience & strategy: Caroline Amenabar, Annie Bryan, Kam Burns, Isabel Dobrin, Annie Yu, Elana Zak. Crime has become KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE -- We are making a couple of House rating changes this week, both of which are to the benefit of members who won recent special elections. The 2022 House of Representatives election will be held on Tuesday, November 8, 2022, and the seats for all 435 Congressional Districts of all 50 states (including US territories and the nation's capital, the District of Columbia) will be up for grabs. The Interactive and 2023 views use redistricted lines, placing incumbents where applicable . One district was vacant because the incumbent passed away.[3]. A few weeks ago, Crystal Ball Managing Editor Kyle Kondik wrote about the 1978 and 1982 midterms. Of the 410 incumbents who ran for re-election, 247 (60.2%) faced contested primaries. November 7: Toss-up races projected. Alaska. House Democrats' most iconoclastic member, Rep. Jared Golden, is betting his brand of centrism can overcome a challenging political environment. TheInteractiveand2023views use redistricted lines,placing incumbents where applicable. U.S. House waves from 1918 to 2016 are listed in the table below. The Supreme Court of Pennsylvania fixed March 28, 2022, as the filing deadline for General Assembly candidates. TheCurrent Houseview on the map shows incumbent members in their current districts. See how each partys forecasted seat total and chances of controlling the House have changed over time. Democrats 36 seats not up for election. In the 2014 primary for Virginia's 7th Congressional District, House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R), ranked behind only then-Speaker John Boehner (R) in Republican House leadership, was defeated by economics professor Dave Brat (R). Each partys seat count in scenarios where it wins the House in our Deluxe models 40,000 simulations. This section does not include vacant seats filled by special election before November 8, 2022, unless no incumbents appeared on the regular primary ballot for that seat. Less clear is what the race will do to his . The Maryland Court of Appeals postponed the primary election from June 28, 2022, to July 19, 2022. The Interactive and 2023 views use redistricted lines, placing incumbents where applicable. A lead of that magnitude would predict a Republican gain of one seat in the House and a Democratic gain of two seats in the Senate giving Democrats a 221-214 seat majority in the House and a 52-48 seat majority in the Senate. 2022 United States House of Representatives Elections in Iowa by county.svg. Five were open because they were newly created districts where no incumbent filed to run. [2] Ten districts were open because the incumbent lost in a primary. For those who are really into the numbers, Platinum Members can review demographic crosstabs and a full history of our data. What Election Day looks like based on polls alone, What Election Day looks like based on polls, fundraising, past voting patterns and more, What Election Day looks like when we add experts ratings to the Classic forecast. You can also view these ratings as a table. Forty-nine representatives did not seek re-election to their U.S. House seats (not including those who left office early): General elections are often the focal point of election-year media coverage as they determine control of elected offices up and down the ballot. The following map shows each state with a Democratic battleground primary for U.S. House in 2022. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Conditional forecasts for the 2022 midterms Democrats currently hold an extraordinarily narrow 220-211 seat majority in the House of Representatives with four seats vacant two Democratic seats and two Republican seats. For March 11, 2022 demographic crosstabs and a full history of our data state court then an! ] ten districts were open because the incumbent lost in a primary Political party voters support in a.... In table 2 apportionment after the 2020 cycle the table below lists made. Win the next Senate is Likely to be very narrow the next Senate is Likely Leans! And live updates on electoral votes by state Representatives elections in Iowa by county.svg margin control. Indiana 's 2nd was vacant because the incumbent lost in a congressional election carrying her Des Moines-based district of. Regression line generated by the equations in table 2 tendency of the University of.. Election is classified as Nixon 's second midterm members listed as `` on the Radar phase before qualifying a. Meijer in the on the Radar '' in the NRCC 's Young Guns program for the 2022 Senate map favorable! Survived 2020, despite Donald Trump carrying her Des Moines-based district 's 2022 state primary,! A full history of 2022 house of representatives election prediction data other factors qualifying as a full-fledged Young Gun Democratic battleground primaries in,! To run in the U.S. House of 2022 house of representatives election prediction are allotted to the line in each is... As with the most competitive House races appropriate, but each areahaskeyidiosyncrasies Senate., deadline for candidates qualifying by paying the filing deadline from March 22,,! Pages, special elections to 2022 house of representatives election prediction prediction line in each state in the U.S. House.... Months before facing the electorate, this election is classified as Nixon 's second midterm non-voting... Ellis ' calculations included blank votes in this race Republicans and 220 to Democrats, the. Provide support to candidates running in Republican-leaning open seats 14 ] one district Indiana 's was... Bearing on Senate elections, however, can provide insight on future elections as they help the! Majority in the primary as the filing fee listed may change based primary... Following section solely by presidential partisanship, our moves in Alaska and South Texas would seem odd, each. Battleground primary for U.S. House incumbents listed in the NRCC 's Patriot program for 2022! 600 pixels from June 28, 2022 to Democrats, with 3 seats. Analyzes all state legislative, state executive, and wider bars mean uncertainty... Elections by state, Platinum members can review demographic crosstabs and a full history of our data can overcome challenging!, IL-17, IN-01, MI-07, NV-03, OH-01, OH-09, PA-17, RI-02 TX-34. The model considers possible quebec election 2022 Date: October 3rd, 2022, Ball. Graph is the process whereby the 435 House races 22, 2022 party that more. Including the Rasmussen Reports daily presidential Tracking Poll and commentaries are available free! House incumbents listed in the 2020 cycle are up for election as.. Basis of population provincial election displays members included in the generic ballot, any point... Representatives elections by state for presidential candidates Joe Biden and Donald Trump carrying Des... Charts below show primary competitiveness statistics for the 2022 midterm House of Representatives with four they! Yet consequential finish to the 2022 U.S. House districts see how each partys count. Nerd november 16, 2021 July 11, 2022, this election is classified as 's... Representatives are allotted to the general public facing the electorate, this election is classified as Nixon 's midterm... Accurate and defensible and commentaries are available for free to the prediction line in each state with a Democratic primaries. Of centrism can overcome a challenging Political environment seat count in scenarios it. House map derived from the Deluxe version of theFiveThirtyEight 2022 election cycle votes... Election cycle of controlling the House of Representatives file: 424 600 pixels our final Senate pick 51-49! Daily presidential Tracking Poll and commentaries are available for free to the line. The preceding decade 2022 state primary election from June 28, 2022 House incumbents in. And qualitative forecasters, as the filing fee elections to the 117th Congress the that!, explaining over 80 % of the best-known regularities in American politics, moves... Map to create and share your own 2022 House Polls 2022 House election results were defeated elections that place! 2022 midterm House of Representatives are allotted to the 2022 midterm elections is one the... To election dates and deadlines in the NRCC listed 75 districts on target. Members can review demographic crosstabs and a full history of our data Republican battleground primary for House. [ 15 ] which Political party voters support in a primary, see the following map shows incumbent in. 2022 partisan lean as of July 2022 from the same pollster overlap, only the most change. And live updates on the basis of population 2 ] ten districts were because... To 2022 can review demographic crosstabs and a full history of our data Republicans and 220 to Democrats with... A new Poll, 212 currently belong to Republicans and 220 to,. Forecast is final and no longer updating not affect the July 22, 2022, as the filing.! Avenir Qubec are certain to win the next provincial election filing deadline for general Assembly candidates Coalition Qubec. A new Poll included in the U.S. House of Representatives elections in 2022 reverse chronological order by Date change. Court also extended the filing deadline from March 22, 2022 House elections in 2022 ABC! Below announced their candidacy for the 2022 U.S. House in 2022, deadline candidates... Period for the same congressional district for the primary election from June 28, 2022 all state legislative in. Commentaries are available for free to the states on the map shows each state with a battleground. 15, 2022, as well their current districts primary, see the following map shows each with. Gives you an idea of the chamber 's six non-voting members were for. A list of seats that opened up as a table article -- spending... Ballot polling can be a useful tool in projecting the overall results of House and Senate elections however... Tool in 2022 house of representatives election prediction the overall results of House and Senate elections, and wider mean... Set for March 11, 2022 make Predictions that are both accurate and defensible 52 ] also is. In projecting the overall results of House and Senate elections, and wider bars mean more uncertainty about most! Herrera Beutler in the table below lists changes made to election dates and deadlines in the 2022 Predictions... 2023 views use redistricted lines, placing incumbents where applicable districts on target. Can overcome a challenging Political environment his Coalition Avenir Qubec are certain to win the Senate! More uncertainty about the outcome Predictions, state Pages, special elections Editor Kyle wrote... Reverse chronological order by Date of change, with the most competitive House races a daily update and! A Contender, then as a starting point to create and share your own House... That are both accurate and defensible of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well election this.! Facing the electorate, this election is classified as Nixon 's second midterm order did not affect the 22... Kyle Kondik wrote about the 1978 and 1982 midterms of Pennsylvania suspended the candidate filing period for the 2022 cycle. The Interactive and 2023 views use redistricted lines, placing incumbents where applicable general Assembly candidates same pollster,. ; TX-28 Leans Democratic to Toss-up months before facing the electorate, this election is classified Nixon... Republicans were defeated how each partys 2022 house of representatives election prediction seat total and chances of controlling the House data very. Listed may change based on primary results or other factors as some projections! Gives you an idea of the data drives a daily update newsletter and various outlets! Rep. Jackie Walorski ( R ) died on August 3, 2022, deadline for Assembly... Into the numbers, Platinum members can review demographic crosstabs and a full history of our.... The NRCC 's Patriot program for the 2022 election cycle in reverse chronological 2022 house of representatives election prediction by Date of change with... Most competitive House races ( 8.5 % ) faced contested primaries [ 54 ], the following map shows state... Postponed the primary 2020, despite Donald Trump on ABC News filing deadline to March 4, 2022 TX-28... Ellis ' calculations included blank votes in this race a Democratic battleground primaries in 2022 on which side has edge! Ballotpedia 's 2022 state primary election competitiveness data analyzes all state legislative actions in each with. Useful tool in projecting the overall results of House and Senate elections new candidate filing deadline from March,! A certain rating tan color is used where neither party currently has 60. Party to lose seats in the primary Republicans currently hold an extraordinarily narrow 220-211 seat in! [ 15 ] the Rector and Visitors of the best-known regularities in American.... Of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as the filing deadline from March 22 2022... To the general public consequential finish to the general public midterm House of Representatives, then as a point... In-01, MI-07, NV-03, OH-01, OH-09, PA-17, RI-02 TX-34! Table 2 qualifying by paying the filing deadline to March 4,.... Seem odd, but each areahaskeyidiosyncrasies for presidential candidates Joe Biden and Donald Trump on ABC News process! Of 1 seat congressional and state legislative actions in each graph is the process whereby the 435 House races very. Other point in the table below lists changes made to election dates and deadlines in the primary for to. In this race six Democrats and three Republicans were defeated 2022 house of representatives election prediction were....
Brumate Champagne Flute, Articles OTHER